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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12711990100110140150160138140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3005
#12
71.41.0
68.169.1
Auto15.9
Teleop46.6
End7.8
red by 7.7
63.61.8
53.655.5
Auto12.6
Teleop41.8
End9.2
Second
4610
#27
29.81.0
27.228.2
Auto7.6
Teleop16.5
End5.9
blue by 14.2
6357
#13
44.11.8
36.137.9
Auto13.1
Teleop23.4
End7.7
Third
8874
#38
29.11.0
22.923.8
Auto6.8
Teleop14.0
End8.4
red by 3.0
5261
#22
26.11.8
22.524.4
Auto6.2
Teleop11.2
End8.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
38%Sustainability oddsEarned28%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
81%Activation oddsMissed92%Activation oddsEarned