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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10713250150200102134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.00.1
46.846.7
Auto11.6
Teleop32.6
End7.9
blue by 15.6
118
#1
67.60.9
62.563.4
Auto17.2
Teleop40.0
End9.3
Second
8088
#34
30.60.1
29.629.5
Auto9.1
Teleop15.2
End6.3
blue by 17.4
48.00.9
40.741.6
Auto9.6
Teleop29.9
End8.4
Third
6901
#31
29.20.1
27.427.3
Auto7.6
Teleop13.7
End8.0
red by 11.3
9034
#40
18.00.9
17.318.2
Auto6.9
Teleop7.7
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
28%Sustainability oddsMissed73%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
77%Activation oddsEarned93%Activation oddsEarned