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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12811650100150200118134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2881
#24
51.50.0
45.545.4
Auto11.1
Teleop33.7
End6.2
blue by 7.8
624
#2
59.31.6
45.647.2
Auto14.6
Teleop34.1
End10.5
Second
48.50.0
43.543.4
Auto14.0
Teleop27.3
End6.9
red by 5.6
43.01.6
38.440.0
Auto13.4
Teleop22.7
End6.8
Third
8858
#29
37.50.0
31.831.8
Auto9.0
Teleop21.0
End7.3
red by 11.0
7616
#16
26.61.6
26.628.2
Auto5.9
Teleop11.6
End9.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
22%Sustainability oddsEarned11%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
71%Activation oddsMissed78%Activation oddsEarned