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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10411005015020025012977

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5417
#14
38.61.7
39.941.6
Auto11.2
Teleop20.3
End6.8
blue by 0.6
231
#26
39.22.1
40.037.9
Auto10.4
Teleop22.2
End6.7
Second
9088
#17
34.71.7
34.135.8
Auto9.2
Teleop19.3
End6.0
red by 0.6
5829
#18
34.12.1
37.935.9
Auto9.9
Teleop18.1
End6.3
Third
8370
#28
32.91.7
24.426.1
Auto8.8
Teleop16.6
End7.6
red by 3.4
4192
#35
29.52.1
24.922.8
Auto5.8
Teleop18.0
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsEarned33%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
68%Activation oddsEarned87%Activation oddsEarned