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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1757105010015020025030016574

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.70.6
59.760.3
Auto12.7
Teleop43.3
End8.4
red by 32.6
418
#25
32.00.4
27.727.3
Auto12.1
Teleop13.4
End6.6
Second
63.60.6
55.556.1
Auto12.6
Teleop41.8
End9.2
red by 33.8
4610
#27
29.80.4
28.227.8
Auto7.6
Teleop16.5
End5.9
Third
5572
#19
37.10.6
36.136.7
Auto11.5
Teleop20.4
End5.3
red by 12.1
5503
#23
25.00.4
23.923.5
Auto4.9
Teleop9.1
End11.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
88%Sustainability oddsEarned4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
91%Activation oddsMissed54%Activation oddsEarned