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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13373050100150200142100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148
#11
65.41.0
59.860.7
Auto13.5
Teleop44.1
End7.1
red by 21.3
6357
#13
44.11.3
37.939.2
Auto13.1
Teleop23.4
End7.7
Second
8088
#34
30.61.0
29.530.5
Auto9.1
Teleop15.2
End6.3
red by 1.5
8874
#38
29.11.3
23.825.1
Auto6.8
Teleop14.0
End8.4
Third
8573
#30
30.11.0
28.029.0
Auto7.7
Teleop17.3
End5.2
red by 12.5
5682
#39
17.61.3
14.215.4
Auto3.5
Teleop8.6
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
41%Sustainability oddsEarned6%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
75%Activation oddsEarned57%Activation oddsEarned