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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55154010020025074143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9088
#17
34.70.7
35.836.4
Auto9.2
Teleop19.3
End6.0
blue by 30.6
148
#11
65.40.7
60.761.4
Auto13.5
Teleop44.1
End7.1
Second
7312
#37
19.40.7
12.913.5
Auto8.2
Teleop5.5
End5.7
blue by 24.7
6357
#13
44.10.7
38.439.1
Auto13.1
Teleop23.4
End7.7
Third
5682
#39
17.60.7
15.416.1
Auto3.5
Teleop8.6
End5.5
blue by 21.6
8576
#15
39.10.7
33.233.9
Auto11.7
Teleop20.4
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed71%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
34%Activation oddsEarned90%Activation oddsEarned