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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1521165010020013389

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3005
#12
71.40.7
68.968.2
Auto15.9
Teleop46.6
End7.8
red by 18.8
52.61.6
48.046.3
Auto10.2
Teleop33.6
End8.8
Second
5417
#14
38.60.7
41.640.9
Auto11.2
Teleop20.3
End6.8
red by 5.7
2583
#33
32.91.6
32.630.9
Auto7.1
Teleop17.7
End8.0
Third
7616
#16
26.60.7
28.227.5
Auto5.9
Teleop11.6
End9.1
blue by 4.0
2587
#20
30.51.6
33.031.4
Auto8.8
Teleop14.6
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
50%Sustainability oddsEarned28%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
93%Activation oddsEarned89%Activation oddsMissed