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Qual 252023 FIRST In Texas District Championship presented by Phillips 66 - MERCURY Division
Red111
41832.0
541153.8
750628.1
Blue105
415338.3
808830.6
887429.1
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10795406080120140160111105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5411
#10
53.80.5
48.2→48.7
Auto12.0
Teleop33.2
End8.2
red by 15.5
4153
#32
38.31.0
34.9→35.8
Auto9.2
Teleop21.0
End8.2
Second
418
#25
32.00.5
27.3→27.8
Auto12.1
Teleop13.4
End6.6
red by 1.4
8088
#34
30.61.0
30.5→31.4
Auto9.1
Teleop15.2
End6.3
Third
7506
#36
28.10.5
23.1→23.6
Auto8.2
Teleop15.8
End4.1
blue by 1.0
8874
#38
29.11.0
25.1→26.1
Auto6.8
Teleop14.0
End8.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
18%Sustainability oddsEarned19%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
74%Activation oddsMissed49%Activation oddsEarned