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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12410150150200151113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.62.2
46.348.5
Auto10.2
Teleop33.6
End8.8
red by 13.4
8576
#15
39.11.0
33.935.0
Auto11.7
Teleop20.4
End6.9
Second
48.52.2
44.846.9
Auto14.0
Teleop27.3
End6.9
red by 14.4
5829
#18
34.11.0
35.936.9
Auto9.9
Teleop18.1
End6.3
Third
4192
#35
29.52.2
22.524.7
Auto5.8
Teleop18.0
End5.9
blue by 0.6
8573
#30
30.11.0
27.928.9
Auto7.7
Teleop17.3
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
27%Sustainability oddsEarned35%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
85%Activation oddsEarned79%Activation oddsMissed