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Qual 292023 FIRST In Texas District Championship presented by Phillips 66 - MERCURY Division
Red117
415338.3
14865.4
731219.4
Blue122
808830.6
11867.6
461029.8
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions116135406080100160180200117122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148
#11
65.40.4
61.4→61.9
Auto13.5
Teleop44.1
End7.1
blue by 2.3
118
#1
67.60.1
64.8→64.6
Auto17.2
Teleop40.0
End9.3
Second
4153
#32
38.30.4
35.8→36.2
Auto9.2
Teleop21.0
End8.2
red by 7.7
8088
#34
30.60.1
31.4→31.3
Auto9.1
Teleop15.2
End6.3
Third
7312
#37
19.40.4
13.5→13.9
Auto8.2
Teleop5.5
End5.7
blue by 10.5
4610
#27
29.80.1
27.8→27.7
Auto7.6
Teleop16.5
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
70%Sustainability oddsMissed78%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
87%Activation oddsEarned82%Activation oddsMissed