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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1548205010020015580

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3005
#12
71.40.9
68.269.2
Auto15.9
Teleop46.6
End7.8
red by 32.2
231
#26
39.20.8
38.537.8
Auto10.4
Teleop22.2
End6.7
Second
2881
#24
51.50.9
45.146.1
Auto11.1
Teleop33.7
End6.2
red by 18.6
2583
#33
32.90.8
30.930.2
Auto7.1
Teleop17.7
End8.0
Third
5261
#22
26.10.9
25.126.0
Auto6.2
Teleop11.2
End8.7
red by 8.2
9034
#40
18.00.8
16.816.1
Auto6.9
Teleop7.7
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
84%Sustainability oddsEarned12%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
77%Activation oddsEarned55%Activation oddsMissed