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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions113129050150200250300116107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5417
#14
38.60.6
40.940.3
Auto11.2
Teleop20.3
End6.8
blue by 15.2
5411
#10
53.81.1
48.747.6
Auto12.0
Teleop33.2
End8.2
Second
5572
#19
37.10.6
35.534.9
Auto11.5
Teleop20.4
End5.3
blue by 5.9
43.01.1
38.337.2
Auto13.4
Teleop22.7
End6.8
Third
2587
#20
30.50.6
31.430.8
Auto8.8
Teleop14.6
End7.2
blue by 7.0
8858
#29
37.51.1
32.931.8
Auto9.0
Teleop21.0
End7.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
18%Sustainability oddsEarned40%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
59%Activation oddsEarned74%Activation oddsMissed