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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15870050100200250170106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.72.2
61.663.8
Auto12.7
Teleop43.3
End8.4
red by 31.8
8370
#28
32.91.6
27.729.4
Auto8.8
Teleop16.6
End7.6
Second
624
#2
59.32.2
47.249.4
Auto14.6
Teleop34.1
End10.5
red by 30.1
6901
#31
29.21.6
25.627.2
Auto7.6
Teleop13.7
End8.0
Third
8749
#21
36.02.2
28.230.4
Auto8.1
Teleop21.0
End7.1
red by 7.8
7506
#36
28.11.6
23.625.2
Auto8.2
Teleop15.8
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
79%Sustainability oddsEarned10%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
78%Activation oddsEarned82%Activation oddsEarned