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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13412150100150200250138117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#1
67.60.0
61.961.9
Auto17.2
Teleop40.0
End9.3
red by 15.6
52.00.5
49.048.4
Auto11.6
Teleop32.6
End7.9
Second
8749
#21
36.00.0
32.632.6
Auto8.1
Teleop21.0
End7.1
blue by 12.6
48.50.5
42.742.2
Auto14.0
Teleop27.3
End6.9
Third
418
#25
32.00.0
29.129.1
Auto12.1
Teleop13.4
End6.6
red by 5.9
5261
#22
26.10.5
23.022.5
Auto6.2
Teleop11.2
End8.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
72%Sustainability oddsEarned26%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
90%Activation oddsEarned81%Activation oddsEarned