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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14310605020025014396

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.60.6
56.156.6
Auto12.6
Teleop41.8
End9.2
red by 19.6
6357
#13
44.10.9
39.238.4
Auto13.1
Teleop23.4
End7.7
Second
52.60.6
47.448.0
Auto10.2
Teleop33.6
End8.8
red by 14.2
4153
#32
38.30.9
35.734.9
Auto9.2
Teleop21.0
End8.2
Third
8370
#28
32.90.6
26.126.6
Auto8.8
Teleop16.6
End7.6
red by 2.8
8573
#30
30.10.9
29.028.2
Auto7.7
Teleop17.3
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
61%Sustainability oddsEarned21%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
95%Activation oddsEarned93%Activation oddsMissed