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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72935015020061117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5829
#18
34.10.6
37.236.6
Auto9.9
Teleop18.1
End6.3
blue by 25.2
624
#2
59.31.5
41.643.1
Auto14.6
Teleop34.1
End10.5
Second
9034
#40
18.00.6
17.917.3
Auto6.9
Teleop7.7
End3.4
blue by 11.1
8874
#38
29.11.5
21.422.9
Auto6.8
Teleop14.0
End8.4
Third
5682
#39
17.60.6
14.814.3
Auto3.5
Teleop8.6
End5.5
blue by 7.5
5503
#23
25.01.5
21.723.2
Auto4.9
Teleop9.1
End11.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
8%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
53%Activation oddsMissed52%Activation oddsEarned