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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions132146100200157133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148
#11
65.42.1
57.960.0
Auto13.5
Teleop44.1
End7.1
red by 0.7
64.70.5
60.359.8
Auto12.7
Teleop43.3
End8.4
Second
231
#26
39.22.1
35.837.8
Auto10.4
Teleop22.2
End6.7
blue by 12.3
2881
#24
51.50.5
46.045.5
Auto11.1
Teleop33.7
End6.2
Third
9088
#17
34.72.1
32.034.1
Auto9.2
Teleop19.3
End6.0
red by 1.8
2583
#33
32.90.5
32.231.6
Auto7.1
Teleop17.7
End8.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
41%Sustainability oddsEarned70%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
79%Activation oddsEarned89%Activation oddsMissed