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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8911105010015020011278

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5411
#10
53.80.9
47.748.6
Auto12.0
Teleop33.2
End8.2
red by 5.8
48.01.6
42.340.7
Auto9.6
Teleop29.9
End8.4
Second
7616
#16
26.60.9
25.726.6
Auto5.9
Teleop11.6
End9.1
blue by 9.4
8749
#21
36.01.6
32.631.0
Auto8.1
Teleop21.0
End7.1
Third
7312
#37
19.40.9
12.613.5
Auto8.2
Teleop5.5
End5.7
blue by 10.1
4192
#35
29.51.6
26.524.9
Auto5.8
Teleop18.0
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
14%Sustainability oddsMissed27%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
87%Activation oddsEarned83%Activation oddsEarned