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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1017405015011294

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8858
#29
37.51.0
32.433.4
Auto9.0
Teleop21.0
End7.3
red by 4.6
8370
#28
32.91.4
30.331.7
Auto8.8
Teleop16.6
End7.6
Second
2583
#33
32.91.0
31.232.2
Auto7.1
Teleop17.7
End8.0
red by 3.5
4192
#35
29.51.4
26.127.5
Auto5.8
Teleop18.0
End5.9
Third
418
#25
32.01.0
28.129.2
Auto12.1
Teleop13.4
End6.6
red by 14.0
9034
#40
18.01.4
16.618.0
Auto6.9
Teleop7.7
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
10%Sustainability oddsMissed17%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
53%Activation oddsEarned45%Activation oddsEarned