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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16310750150200149117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3005
#12
71.40.5
70.770.3
Auto15.9
Teleop46.6
End7.8
red by 27.3
6357
#13
44.10.4
42.642.3
Auto13.1
Teleop23.4
End7.7
Second
48.50.5
47.547.0
Auto14.0
Teleop27.3
End6.9
red by 13.8
9088
#17
34.70.4
36.035.7
Auto9.2
Teleop19.3
End6.0
Third
6901
#31
29.20.5
27.927.5
Auto7.6
Teleop13.7
End8.0
blue by 0.6
4610
#27
29.80.4
28.628.3
Auto7.6
Teleop16.5
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
62%Sustainability oddsEarned21%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
95%Activation oddsEarned73%Activation oddsMissed