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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7816305010015020080139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5417
#14
38.61.4
41.039.6
Auto11.2
Teleop20.3
End6.8
blue by 29.0
118
#1
67.61.6
65.263.7
Auto17.2
Teleop40.0
End9.3
Second
7506
#36
28.11.4
26.925.5
Auto8.2
Teleop15.8
End4.1
blue by 24.4
52.61.6
49.948.4
Auto10.2
Teleop33.6
End8.8
Third
5682
#39
17.61.4
16.214.8
Auto3.5
Teleop8.6
End5.5
blue by 9.0
7616
#16
26.61.6
27.225.6
Auto5.9
Teleop11.6
End9.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
15%Sustainability oddsMissed93%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
49%Activation oddsEarned98%Activation oddsEarned