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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12511050100150200122132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148
#11
65.40.1
62.162.2
Auto13.5
Teleop44.1
End7.1
red by 12.8
52.61.5
48.449.8
Auto10.2
Teleop33.6
End8.8
Second
4192
#35
29.50.1
27.527.6
Auto5.8
Teleop18.0
End5.9
blue by 2.5
418
#25
32.01.5
29.230.6
Auto12.1
Teleop13.4
End6.6
Third
7616
#16
26.60.1
25.625.7
Auto5.9
Teleop11.6
End9.1
blue by 2.7
6901
#31
29.21.5
27.528.9
Auto7.6
Teleop13.7
End8.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
75%Sustainability oddsEarned20%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
92%Activation oddsMissed94%Activation oddsMissed