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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14412250100200152146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#1
67.61.3
63.765.0
Auto17.2
Teleop40.0
End9.3
red by 19.6
48.01.6
45.947.5
Auto9.6
Teleop29.9
End8.4
Second
8576
#15
39.11.3
36.838.1
Auto11.7
Teleop20.4
End6.9
red by 0.8
4153
#32
38.31.6
37.839.4
Auto9.2
Teleop21.0
End8.2
Third
2583
#33
32.91.3
32.233.5
Auto7.1
Teleop17.7
End8.0
blue by 4.6
8858
#29
37.51.6
33.435.0
Auto9.0
Teleop21.0
End7.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
89%Sustainability oddsEarned39%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
89%Activation oddsEarned92%Activation oddsEarned