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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1581175010020012799

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3005
#12
71.41.4
70.368.9
Auto15.9
Teleop46.6
End7.8
red by 6.7
64.71.1
63.562.4
Auto12.7
Teleop43.3
End8.4
Second
43.01.4
39.438.0
Auto13.4
Teleop22.7
End6.8
red by 12.4
8088
#34
30.61.1
33.532.5
Auto9.1
Teleop15.2
End6.3
Third
9088
#17
34.71.4
35.734.3
Auto9.2
Teleop19.3
End6.0
red by 15.4
7312
#37
19.41.1
17.816.8
Auto8.2
Teleop5.5
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
86%Sustainability oddsEarned55%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
75%Activation oddsMissed71%Activation oddsMissed