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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions771325010015020074125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8749
#21
36.00.7
34.033.3
Auto8.1
Teleop21.0
End7.1
blue by 8.1
6357
#13
44.10.6
42.341.7
Auto13.1
Teleop23.4
End7.7
Second
5261
#22
26.10.7
27.126.4
Auto6.2
Teleop11.2
End8.7
blue by 11.0
5572
#19
37.10.6
35.935.3
Auto11.5
Teleop20.4
End5.3
Third
9034
#40
18.00.7
18.017.4
Auto6.9
Teleop7.7
End3.4
blue by 16.2
5829
#18
34.10.6
38.437.9
Auto9.9
Teleop18.1
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
23%Sustainability oddsMissed50%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
45%Activation oddsMissed91%Activation oddsMissed