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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1451256080100160180200220156145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
624
#2
59.31.5
53.354.8
Auto14.6
Teleop34.1
End10.5
blue by 4.3
63.60.9
61.061.8
Auto12.6
Teleop41.8
End9.2
Second
52.01.5
48.650.0
Auto11.6
Teleop32.6
End7.9
red by 21.5
2587
#20
30.50.9
32.533.4
Auto8.8
Teleop14.6
End7.2
Third
8370
#28
32.91.5
31.733.2
Auto8.8
Teleop16.6
End7.6
red by 3.8
8874
#38
29.10.9
26.627.4
Auto6.8
Teleop14.0
End8.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
72%Sustainability oddsEarned74%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
93%Activation oddsEarned76%Activation oddsEarned