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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13310750150200125123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5411
#10
53.80.2
51.051.2
Auto12.0
Teleop33.2
End8.2
red by 2.3
2881
#24
51.50.9
50.551.5
Auto11.1
Teleop33.7
End6.2
Second
48.50.2
47.047.3
Auto14.0
Teleop27.3
End6.9
red by 9.4
231
#26
39.20.9
38.639.5
Auto10.4
Teleop22.2
End6.7
Third
5503
#23
25.00.2
23.623.9
Auto4.9
Teleop9.1
End11.2
red by 7.5
5682
#39
17.60.9
14.815.7
Auto3.5
Teleop8.6
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
40%Sustainability oddsEarned38%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
85%Activation oddsEarned66%Activation oddsMissed