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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions123915015020012796

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.60.7
49.850.6
Auto10.2
Teleop33.6
End8.8
red by 16.6
8749
#21
36.00.4
33.333.8
Auto8.1
Teleop21.0
End7.1
Second
8573
#30
30.10.7
30.931.6
Auto7.7
Teleop17.3
End5.2
blue by 0.5
8088
#34
30.60.4
32.532.9
Auto9.1
Teleop15.2
End6.3
Third
4610
#27
29.80.7
30.531.3
Auto7.6
Teleop16.5
End5.9
red by 4.8
5503
#23
25.00.4
23.924.3
Auto4.9
Teleop9.1
End11.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
47%Sustainability oddsEarned22%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
65%Activation oddsEarned54%Activation oddsEarned