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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13212180100140160180200130114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2881
#24
51.51.1
51.550.3
Auto11.1
Teleop33.7
End6.2
blue by 19.8
3005
#12
71.40.1
68.968.8
Auto15.9
Teleop46.6
End7.8
Second
5829
#18
34.11.1
37.936.8
Auto9.9
Teleop18.1
End6.3
red by 2.1
418
#25
32.00.1
30.630.5
Auto12.1
Teleop13.4
End6.6
Third
2587
#20
30.51.1
33.432.3
Auto8.8
Teleop14.6
End7.2
red by 13.0
5682
#39
17.60.1
15.715.6
Auto3.5
Teleop8.6
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
89%Sustainability oddsMissed55%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
65%Activation oddsEarned67%Activation oddsMissed