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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions167161140180200171165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#1
67.61.0
65.066.0
Auto17.2
Teleop40.0
End9.3
red by 3.0
64.70.5
62.463.0
Auto12.7
Teleop43.3
End8.4
Second
5411
#10
53.81.0
51.252.2
Auto12.0
Teleop33.2
End8.2
red by 1.8
52.00.5
50.050.6
Auto11.6
Teleop32.6
End7.9
Third
6357
#13
44.11.0
41.742.7
Auto13.1
Teleop23.4
End7.7
red by 4.9
231
#26
39.20.5
39.540.1
Auto10.4
Teleop22.2
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
97%Sustainability oddsEarned96%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
97%Activation oddsEarned90%Activation oddsEarned