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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1671105010015020025015887

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148
#11
65.40.6
63.263.8
Auto13.5
Teleop44.1
End7.1
red by 26.2
8576
#15
39.11.5
40.338.7
Auto11.7
Teleop20.4
End6.9
Second
624
#2
59.30.6
55.355.9
Auto14.6
Teleop34.1
End10.5
red by 20.7
5417
#14
38.61.5
41.740.2
Auto11.2
Teleop20.3
End6.8
Third
2583
#33
32.90.6
33.333.9
Auto7.1
Teleop17.7
End8.0
red by 3.8
8874
#38
29.11.5
28.226.6
Auto6.8
Teleop14.0
End8.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
81%Sustainability oddsEarned56%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
86%Activation oddsEarned76%Activation oddsEarned