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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13612150100150200121123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.60.3
50.650.2
Auto10.2
Teleop33.6
End8.8
red by 4.0
48.50.2
48.048.2
Auto14.0
Teleop27.3
End6.9
Second
4153
#32
38.30.3
39.038.6
Auto9.2
Teleop21.0
End8.2
red by 2.4
8749
#21
36.00.2
33.833.9
Auto8.1
Teleop21.0
End7.1
Third
5572
#19
37.10.3
36.336.0
Auto11.5
Teleop20.4
End5.3
red by 2.4
9088
#17
34.70.2
33.834.0
Auto9.2
Teleop19.3
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
75%Sustainability oddsEarned45%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
88%Activation oddsEarned62%Activation oddsMissed