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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11611590100110120130140150112125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2881
#24
51.50.2
50.350.6
Auto11.1
Teleop33.7
End6.2
blue by 12.1
63.61.1
62.263.2
Auto12.6
Teleop41.8
End9.2
Second
8370
#28
32.90.2
34.034.2
Auto8.8
Teleop16.6
End7.6
red by 3.6
6901
#31
29.21.1
28.529.6
Auto7.6
Teleop13.7
End8.0
Third
5503
#23
25.00.2
24.324.5
Auto4.9
Teleop9.1
End11.2
red by 5.7
7312
#37
19.41.1
18.219.2
Auto8.2
Teleop5.5
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
47%Sustainability oddsMissed49%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
81%Activation oddsEarned92%Activation oddsEarned