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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1338550100150200114111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.70.3
63.062.6
Auto12.7
Teleop43.3
End8.4
red by 27.2
8858
#29
37.51.7
37.238.9
Auto9.0
Teleop21.0
End7.3
Second
4192
#35
29.50.3
28.127.8
Auto5.8
Teleop18.0
End5.9
blue by 1.1
8088
#34
30.61.7
32.934.6
Auto9.1
Teleop15.2
End6.3
Third
5261
#22
26.10.3
27.827.5
Auto6.2
Teleop11.2
End8.7
red by 8.6
5682
#39
17.61.7
15.617.3
Auto3.5
Teleop8.6
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
73%Sustainability oddsEarned11%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
80%Activation oddsEarned37%Activation oddsEarned