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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1001595020025099140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5411
#10
53.80.5
52.251.7
Auto12.0
Teleop33.2
End8.2
blue by 13.8
118
#1
67.60.1
66.065.8
Auto17.2
Teleop40.0
End9.3
Second
4610
#27
29.80.5
31.330.8
Auto7.6
Teleop16.5
End5.9
blue by 13.1
43.00.1
39.439.3
Auto13.4
Teleop22.7
End6.8
Third
9034
#40
18.00.5
17.717.2
Auto6.9
Teleop7.7
End3.4
blue by 16.2
5829
#18
34.10.1
36.836.6
Auto9.9
Teleop18.1
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
43%Sustainability oddsEarned97%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
42%Activation oddsMissed92%Activation oddsEarned