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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions143143120130150160170180142136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.00.3
50.650.9
Auto11.6
Teleop32.6
End7.9
blue by 19.3
3005
#12
71.40.0
68.868.9
Auto15.9
Teleop46.6
End7.8
Second
48.00.3
48.548.8
Auto9.6
Teleop29.9
End8.4
red by 8.9
8576
#15
39.10.0
38.738.8
Auto11.7
Teleop20.4
End6.9
Third
9088
#17
34.70.3
34.034.3
Auto9.2
Teleop19.3
End6.0
red by 6.6
7506
#36
28.10.0
27.928.0
Auto8.2
Teleop15.8
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
79%Sustainability oddsEarned90%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
88%Activation oddsEarned69%Activation oddsMissed