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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions951375015020093139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8858
#29
37.50.1
38.938.8
Auto9.0
Teleop21.0
End7.3
blue by 21.8
624
#2
59.31.0
55.956.9
Auto14.6
Teleop34.1
End10.5
Second
5572
#19
37.10.1
36.035.9
Auto11.5
Teleop20.4
End5.3
blue by 15.4
52.61.0
50.251.3
Auto10.2
Teleop33.6
End8.8
Third
7312
#37
19.40.1
19.219.2
Auto8.2
Teleop5.5
End5.7
red by 1.8
5682
#39
17.61.0
17.318.3
Auto3.5
Teleop8.6
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
22%Sustainability oddsEarned56%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
67%Activation oddsMissed84%Activation oddsEarned