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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1131068010012014013778

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6357
#13
44.11.8
41.343.1
Auto13.1
Teleop23.4
End7.7
red by 5.8
4153
#32
38.31.5
38.637.1
Auto9.2
Teleop21.0
End8.2
Second
43.01.8
39.341.0
Auto13.4
Teleop22.7
End6.8
red by 10.0
2583
#33
32.91.5
33.932.4
Auto7.1
Teleop17.7
End8.0
Third
5503
#23
25.01.8
24.526.3
Auto4.9
Teleop9.1
End11.2
blue by 4.5
4192
#35
29.51.5
27.826.3
Auto5.8
Teleop18.0
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
34%Sustainability oddsEarned42%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
75%Activation oddsEarned78%Activation oddsEarned