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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11521250100150200250132192

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5411
#10
53.80.5
51.752.2
Auto12.0
Teleop33.2
End8.2
blue by 17.6
3005
#12
71.40.3
68.969.2
Auto15.9
Teleop46.6
End7.8
Second
8749
#21
36.00.5
33.934.4
Auto8.1
Teleop21.0
End7.1
blue by 31.7
118
#1
67.60.3
65.866.1
Auto17.2
Teleop40.0
End9.3
Third
8370
#28
32.90.5
34.234.7
Auto8.8
Teleop16.6
End7.6
blue by 32.5
148
#11
65.40.3
63.864.1
Auto13.5
Teleop44.1
End7.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
65%Sustainability oddsEarned100%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
90%Activation oddsEarned96%Activation oddsEarned