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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10212605015020025085123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
231
#26
39.20.9
38.737.7
Auto10.4
Teleop22.2
End6.7
blue by 12.8
52.00.2
50.951.0
Auto11.6
Teleop32.6
End7.9
Second
8573
#30
30.10.9
30.629.7
Auto7.7
Teleop17.3
End5.2
blue by 4.1
5829
#18
34.10.2
36.636.8
Auto9.9
Teleop18.1
End6.3
Third
6901
#31
29.20.9
29.628.6
Auto7.6
Teleop13.7
End8.0
red by 1.1
7506
#36
28.10.2
28.028.1
Auto8.2
Teleop15.8
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
31%Sustainability oddsMissed84%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
85%Activation oddsMissed76%Activation oddsEarned