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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15910150150200147131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.70.0
62.662.6
Auto12.7
Teleop43.3
End8.4
red by 13.1
2881
#24
51.51.6
50.652.2
Auto11.1
Teleop33.7
End6.2
Second
48.00.0
48.848.8
Auto9.6
Teleop29.9
End8.4
red by 18.9
8874
#38
29.11.6
26.628.2
Auto6.8
Teleop14.0
End8.4
Third
4610
#27
29.80.0
30.830.8
Auto7.6
Teleop16.5
End5.9
red by 3.3
7616
#16
26.61.6
25.026.6
Auto5.9
Teleop11.6
End9.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
85%Sustainability oddsEarned48%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
90%Activation oddsEarned74%Activation oddsEarned