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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6616305010015020025083156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6901
#31
29.20.6
28.629.2
Auto7.6
Teleop13.7
End8.0
blue by 24.6
5411
#10
53.81.0
52.253.2
Auto12.0
Teleop33.2
End8.2
Second
8874
#38
29.10.6
28.228.8
Auto6.8
Teleop14.0
End8.4
blue by 23.5
52.61.0
51.352.3
Auto10.2
Teleop33.6
End8.8
Third
9034
#40
18.00.6
17.418.0
Auto6.9
Teleop7.7
End3.4
blue by 21.2
231
#26
39.21.0
37.738.7
Auto10.4
Teleop22.2
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
18%Sustainability oddsMissed87%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
52%Activation oddsEarned90%Activation oddsEarned