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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1071495020094154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.00.8
48.848.0
Auto9.6
Teleop29.9
End8.4
blue by 16.7
64.71.3
62.663.9
Auto12.7
Teleop43.3
End8.4
Second
8576
#15
39.10.8
38.838.0
Auto11.7
Teleop20.4
End6.9
blue by 3.9
43.01.3
41.042.4
Auto13.4
Teleop22.7
End6.8
Third
5682
#39
17.60.8
18.317.6
Auto3.5
Teleop8.6
End5.5
blue by 14.5
418
#25
32.01.3
30.732.0
Auto12.1
Teleop13.4
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
38%Sustainability oddsEarned87%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
84%Activation oddsMissed66%Activation oddsEarned