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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions116822040601001401601808786

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5829
#18
34.12.6
36.834.1
Auto9.9
Teleop18.1
End6.3
red by 6.0
7506
#36
28.10.0
28.128.1
Auto8.2
Teleop15.8
End4.1
Second
8370
#28
32.92.6
34.732.0
Auto8.8
Teleop16.6
End7.6
red by 6.3
7616
#16
26.60.0
26.626.6
Auto5.9
Teleop11.6
End9.1
Third
8088
#34
30.62.6
33.330.6
Auto9.1
Teleop15.2
End6.3
red by 4.5
5261
#22
26.10.0
26.126.1
Auto6.2
Teleop11.2
End8.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
28%Sustainability oddsMissed18%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
88%Activation oddsMissed80%Activation oddsMissed