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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19410850150250179103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3005
#12
71.40.2
70.370.1
Auto15.9
Teleop46.6
End7.8
red by 32.2
231
#26
39.20.3
38.738.4
Auto10.4
Teleop22.2
End6.7
Second
118
#1
67.60.2
66.566.4
Auto17.2
Teleop40.0
End9.3
red by 29.0
5417
#14
38.60.3
38.137.8
Auto11.2
Teleop20.3
End6.8
Third
8576
#15
39.10.2
38.037.8
Auto11.7
Teleop20.4
End6.9
red by 3.2
8749
#21
36.00.3
35.535.2
Auto8.1
Teleop21.0
End7.1