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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions163122100150200185121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148
#11
65.40.6
63.263.8
Auto13.5
Teleop44.1
End7.1
red by 16.8
48.50.3
48.648.3
Auto14.0
Teleop27.3
End6.9
Second
624
#2
59.30.6
57.157.7
Auto14.6
Teleop34.1
End10.5
red by 15.2
6357
#13
44.10.3
44.243.9
Auto13.1
Teleop23.4
End7.7
Third
4192
#35
29.50.6
27.327.9
Auto5.8
Teleop18.0
End5.9
red by 2.9
7616
#16
26.60.3
26.626.3
Auto5.9
Teleop11.6
End9.1