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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17513580100120160200220240155140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.70.2
63.963.7
Auto12.7
Teleop43.3
End8.4
red by 12.1
52.60.2
52.352.4
Auto10.2
Teleop33.6
End8.8
Second
63.60.2
62.962.7
Auto12.6
Teleop41.8
End9.2
red by 12.1
2881
#24
51.50.2
51.251.4
Auto11.1
Teleop33.7
End6.2
Third
8370
#28
32.90.2
32.031.8
Auto8.8
Teleop16.6
End7.6
red by 3.8
8874
#38
29.10.2
28.829.0
Auto6.8
Teleop14.0
End8.4