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Red89
874916.3
268731.6
690118.4
Blue91
380231.3
258241.6
129629.0
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions627620401001208991

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.62.2
26.328.5
Auto8.7
Teleop16.4
End6.5
blue by 10.0
41.62.4
22.925.3
Auto9.8
Teleop24.5
End7.3
Second
6901
#12
18.42.2
18.420.5
Auto6.7
Teleop5.7
End6.0
blue by 13.0
31.32.4
22.925.3
Auto12.2
Teleop12.8
End6.3
Third
8749
#25
16.32.2
14.917.1
Auto1.9
Teleop7.3
End7.1
blue by 12.7
1296
#11
29.02.4
23.626.0
Auto8.1
Teleop12.3
End8.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
41%Activation oddsEarned35%Activation oddsEarned