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Red115
887417.2
300559.1
676812.2
Blue101
908820.2
557229.4
885822.7
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6467204080100115101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.15.0
38.343.3
Auto10.7
Teleop39.3
End9.1
red by 29.7
29.41.9
24.126.0
Auto11.0
Teleop11.4
End6.9
Second
8874
#17
17.25.0
11.316.3
Auto0.1
Teleop12.3
End4.8
blue by 5.5
8858
#20
22.71.9
19.221.1
Auto2.9
Teleop15.1
End4.7
Third
6768
#29
12.25.0
10.615.6
Auto4.4
Teleop4.0
End3.8
blue by 8.0
9088
#21
20.21.9
18.820.7
Auto5.1
Teleop11.0
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
27%Activation oddsEarned33%Activation oddsEarned